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Robotics

Two questions: can robots do physical work on their own yet, and how fast can we build them and at what cost?

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Can robots do physical work on their own yet?

Robots already do fixed jobs at scale: factories installed more than 600,000 of them in 2025. Chores in a home they have never seen are another matter. Figure's best self-reported result is 56% of tasks completed, and the best team in Stanford's independent simulated challenge managed 12.4%.

  1. Any chore, any home, nobody at the controls

    Not yet

    The whole job a paid cleaner or handyman does, start to finish.

    1X sells its $20,000 NEO with remote staff who steer it through chores it hasn't learned, and about 60% of the robots in Beijing's 2026 half-marathon were remote-controlled.

  2. Everyday chores in a home it has never seen

    Tests and demos only

    Making a bed, folding towels, tidying a living room.

    Figure's robots fully completed 56% of chores in 30 homes they had never entered (self-reported, September 2026). In Stanford's independent, simulated BEHAVIOR challenge, the best team completed 12.4% of household tasks.

  3. One job in a real factory or warehouse built for people

    In paid pilots

    Humanoids loading car parts or moving plastic crates on a shift.

    Figure says its robots loaded more than 90,000 parts at BMW over 11 months; Agility says Digit moved more than 100,000 crates at GXO. Both figures are self-reported, and Agility's 2025 sales were $1.8 million.

  4. Moving goods around warehouses built for robots

    Done at scale

    Mobile robots carrying shelves and parcels across mapped warehouse floors.

    Amazon deployed its one millionth robot in July 2025, across a network of more than 300 facilities.

  5. Repeating one task in one place

    Done at scale

    Welding and painting car bodies, placing parts on circuit boards.

    Factories installed more than 600,000 industrial robots in 2025, and about 5 million are now at work worldwide.

Milestone

General robot AI: first releases in 2024, controlling whole humanoid bodies by 2026, makers say

AI that turns camera images and instructions into robot movement has improved every few months. Nearly all results come from the makers.

~18 hoursa robot making espresso, 5:30 am to 11:30 pm (company demo, 2025)

Biggest caveat

Almost every number here comes from the company that built the model, measured on tasks it chose. There is no shared benchmark that all these models are tested on.

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10 sources
Milestone

Winning robot half-marathon time: 2 h 40 min in 2025, 50 min in 2026, under the human record

The 2026 winner finished in 50:26, under the men's world record of 57:20. But about 60% of the 2026 robots were remote-controlled.

2:40:42 → 50:26winning robot time in Beijing, 2025 → 2026 (men's world record 57:20)

Biggest caveat

Most 2026 robots were not running on their own: about 40% ran autonomously and 60% were remote-controlled, according to Beijing's E-Town tech hub. A remote-controlled Honor robot ran faster (48:19) but did not win under the race's weighted scoring.

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4 sources
Show the data (1 chart)

Winning robot time at the Beijing humanoid half-marathon

Official winner's time over 21.1 km at the Beijing E-Town half-marathon, where humanoid robots run alongside (but separate from) people. The line marks the men's world record.

What this measures: How long the fastest official robot took to run a half-marathon in Beijing's annual race for humanoid robots. Lower is faster.

  • Winning robot
  • Reference level
0 s50 min1.7 h2.5 h3.3 h2026Men's world record (Jacob Kiplimo, 57:20)

No new results · last data Apr 2026: The race is held once a year (both editions so far were in April), so the next result will come from the 2027 race.

In 2026 about 40% of the more than 100 robot entrants ran autonomously and about 60% were remote-controlled (Beijing E-Town, via TechCrunch). Robots ran in lanes separated from human runners. The fastest human in the 2025 race finished in 1:02:36. Running speed on a closed course says little about whether a robot can do useful work.

Sources: VnExpress International, iRunFar, TechCrunch, Al JazeeraData as of 9 Nov 2026
Show data table and sources
DateLabelValue
19 Apr 2025Tiangong Ultra2.7 h
19 Apr 2026Honor robot (autonomous)50 min
Men's world record (Jacob Kiplimo, 57:20)57 min

Can we build them, and what do they cost?

The cheapest Unitree humanoid fell from about $90,000 to about $4,400 in under three years. Makers shipped an estimated 13,000–18,000 humanoids in 2025, mostly in China and mostly for research, education and shows rather than paid work. The biggest Western targets have slipped.

Agility RoboticsDigit

Promised · Sept 2026

More than $300 million in committed multi-year orders for its next model, Digit 5.

What happened · as of Sept 2026

$1.8 million in total sales in 2025 and a $138 million net loss, with Digit deployed or committed at nine customer sites.

Finding

Unitree's cheapest humanoid fell from about $90,000 to $4,400 in three years, but it's child-size

The cheapest are small robots for research and teaching. A robot sold for home chores still costs $20,000 and relies on remote human help.

$90,000 → ~$4,400starting price of Unitree's cheapest humanoid, 2023 → 2026

Biggest caveat

The cheap robots are small and sold mainly for research, education, sport and entertainment. In the first nine months of 2025, 73.6% of Unitree's humanoid revenue came from research and education buyers.

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8 sources
Finding

About 22,000–25,000 humanoid robots shipped in the first half of 2026, more than in all of 2025

Shipments were 13,000–18,000 in all of 2025. Chinese firms built over 95%, and most went to labs and shows, not factory work.

~25,000humanoids shipped Jan–Jun 2026 (IDC estimate), up from ~18,000 in 2025

Biggest caveat

Definitions differ. The IFR leaves out smaller robots and those sold for research or entertainment; IDC, Omdia and Counterpoint include them.

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9 sources
Finding

Humanoids at work are still small trials: 90,000 car parts loaded at BMW, 100,000 crates moved

Humanoid jobs are still narrow trials, with figures from the makers. Agility, a top US maker, sold $1.8M in 2025 and lost $138M.

$1.8MAgility Robotics' 2025 sales, against a $138M net loss (SEC filing)

Biggest caveat

The BMW and warehouse numbers come from the robot makers, with no independent audit. Neither says how many robots were involved or how often people stepped in; Agility's fleet software includes remote control "when required".

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7 sources
Finding

Tesla planned about 10,000 Optimus robots in 2025; a year on, Musk said they did only basic tasks

Musk later said the robots did only basic tasks, and outside sales slipped to about the end of 2027. Tesla hasn't said how many it built.

~10,000Optimus robots planned for 2025; Tesla hasn't said how many it built

Biggest caveat

This entry compares Musk's forecasts with his own later statements. There are no independent counts of Optimus robots built or working.

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7 sources
Show the data (2 charts)

Price of Unitree's cheapest humanoid robot

Starting list price of the lowest-priced humanoid sold by Unitree, one of the two biggest humanoid makers by shipments, in US dollars. Log scale.

What this measures: How much it costs to buy the cheapest humanoid robot from Unitree, from its first humanoid in 2023 to today. These are prices for basic versions of small research and hobby robots, not for a robot that can do housework.

$1,000$10,000$100,000202420252026

List prices for base models, converted to dollars at each source's rate; prices outside China are higher. The G1 and R1 are child-size (121–127 cm) and sold mainly to universities, labs and developers. What buyers paid fell too: Unitree's average selling price per humanoid dropped from about $85,000 in 2023 to about $25,000 in the first nine months of 2025, according to its IPO filing.

Show data table and sources
DateLabelValue
15 Aug 2023H1$90,000
15 May 2024G1$16,000
25 Jul 2025R1$5,900
25 Jun 2026R1 (price cut)$4,370

Humanoid robots shipped worldwide: estimates and forecasts

Number of robots. Blue = estimates of robots actually shipped or sold; grey = forecasts for all of 2026. Each tracker counts differently.

What this measures: How many humanoid robots makers sent to customers, according to four market trackers, plus two forecasts for 2026. For comparison, factories installed just over 600,000 conventional industrial robots in 2025.

2025: IFR (full-size, for work only)only robots taller than 140 cm, sold for commercial and professional use
7,000 robots
2025: Omdiaabout 13,000
13,000 robots
2025: IDCabout 18,000, up 508% on 2024
18,000 robots
Jan–Jun 2026: Counterpointmore than 22,000 in six months
22,000 robots
Jan–Jun 2026: IDCalmost 25,000 in six months, up 432% on a year earlier
25,000 robots
2026 forecast: Counterpointforecast: more than 50,000
50,000 robots
2026 forecast: Bank of Americaforecast
90,000 robots

A shipment is not a deployment. Most humanoids shipped so far went to research labs, data collection, and shows and exhibitions, not to paid work in factories or warehouses.

Definitions differ. The International Federation of Robotics counts only full-size humanoids (over 140 cm) sold for commercial and professional use. IDC, Omdia and Counterpoint also count smaller robots and those sold for research, education and entertainment. Some vendor figures are disputed: Unitree says it shipped more than 5,500 in 2025, Omdia estimated about 4,200. Chinese makers built more than 95% of the robots IDC counted in the first half of 2026.

Show data table and sources
ItemValueNote
2025: IFR (full-size, for work only)7,000 robotsonly robots taller than 140 cm, sold for commercial and professional use
2025: Omdia13,000 robotsabout 13,000
2025: IDC18,000 robotsabout 18,000, up 508% on 2024
Jan–Jun 2026: Counterpoint22,000 robotsmore than 22,000 in six months
Jan–Jun 2026: IDC25,000 robotsalmost 25,000 in six months, up 432% on a year earlier
2026 forecast: Counterpoint50,000 robotsforecast: more than 50,000
2026 forecast: Bank of America90,000 robotsforecast