- 6 mo46%Gemini 3.1 Pro (high)+8.4 pts
- 1 yr32%GPT-5 Pro+23 pts
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
Benchmarks
Standardised tests of AI ability, expert baselines, and how fast tests get saturated.
Progress over time
- 6 mo0.5%Best frontier AI at launch+81 pts
- 1 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 6 mono result yet
- 1 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 6 mo0%GPT-5.5+4.4 pts
- 1 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 6 mo$0.17Gemini 3 Flash Preview (high)15× cheaper
- 1 yr$8.42Grok 4 refinement system714× cheaper
- 2 yrno result yet
- 3 yrno result yet
- 6 mo95%GPT-5.4 Pro+1.8 pts
- 1 yr87%Grok 4+9.4 pts
- 2 yr62%o1-mini (high)+34 pts
- 3 yr42%GPT-4 Turbo+54 pts
- 6 mo123 pointsGrok 4+13 points
- 1 yr96.5 pointso1+40 points
- 2 yr85.5 pointsClaude 3+51 points
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 6 mo85%GPT-5.5 (xhigh)+10 pts
- 1 yr18%GPT-5 Pro+77 pts
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
ARC-AGI-2 puzzles (with harness)
No new resultslast data Feb 2026- 6 mosame record as now
- 1 yr29%Grok 4 + refinement (j_berman)+44 pts
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
SWE-bench Verified: fixing real software bugs (independent)
Known flawslast data Apr 2026- 6 mosame record as now
- 1 yr74%GPT-5 (high)+9.9 pts
- 2 yrno result yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 6 mosame record as now
- 1 yr77%Claude Sonnet 4.5+17 pts
- 2 yr49%Claude 3.5 Sonnet (new)+45 pts
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
Competition math (AIME-level problems)
Saturatedlast data Apr 2026- 6 mosame record as now
- 1 yr91%GPT-5 (high)+8.6 pts
- 2 yr47%o1-mini (high)+53 pts
- 3 yr2.5%Claude 2.0+98 pts
- 6 mo88%GPT-5.5 Pro+7.4 pts
- 1 yr55%GPT-5 (high)+40 pts
- 2 yrno result yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 6 mo78%GPT-5.5 Pro+22 pts
- 1 yr22%GPT-5+78 pts
- 2 yrtest didn’t exist yet
- 3 yrtest didn’t exist yet
Task length AI agents complete (50% success, METR)
No longer updatedlast data Apr 2026- 6 mosame record as now
- 1 yr3.4 hGPT-55.1×
- 2 yr21 minClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct)51×
- 3 yr4 minGPT-4261×
Task length AI agents complete (80% success, METR)
No longer updatedlast data Apr 2026- 6 mosame record as now
- 1 yr38 minGPT-54.9×
- 2 yr4.4 mino1-preview42×
- 3 yr54 sGPT-4207×
Charts
New tests get beaten within one to two years
Best AI score on each benchmark, starting when the benchmark was published.
What this measures: Each line is a test built to be hard for AI. Watch how quickly each one climbs from near zero toward the top once it exists.
- GPQA Diamond
- FrontierMath Tiers 1–3
- Humanity's Last Exam
- ARC-AGI-2
- ARC-AGI-3
GPQA and FrontierMath points are Epoch AI's independent runs (FrontierMath on the corrected 2026 set, re-run on older models); HLE is Scale AI's no-tools leaderboard; ARC points are ARC Prize-verified with the standard setup. Fast saturation partly reflects benchmark flaws and contamination, not only skill.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPQA Diamond | 20 Nov 2023 | GPT-4 Turbo | 42% |
| GPQA Diamond | 20 Jun 2024 | Claude 3.5 Sonnet | 54% |
| GPQA Diamond | 12 Sept 2024 | o1-mini | 62% |
| GPQA Diamond | 17 Dec 2024 | o1 | 77% |
| GPQA Diamond | 25 Mar 2025 | Gemini 2.5 Pro | 84% |
| GPQA Diamond | 9 Jul 2025 | Grok 4 | 87% |
| GPQA Diamond | 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 93% |
| GPQA Diamond | 5 Mar 2026 | GPT-5.4 Pro | 95% |
| GPQA Diamond | 30 Sept 2026 | Gemini 4 Argon | 96% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 8 Nov 2024 | Launch: under 2% | 2% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 17 Dec 2024 | o1 | 15% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 16 Apr 2025 | o4-mini | 36% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 | 55% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 Pro | 74% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 23 Apr 2026 | GPT-5.5 Pro | 88% |
| FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 | 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 94% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 24 Jan 2025 | o1 | 8% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 16 Apr 2025 | o3 | 20% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 | 25% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 6 Oct 2025 | GPT-5 Pro | 32% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 38% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 19 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3.1 Pro | 46% |
| Humanity's Last Exam | 2 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 55% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 24 Mar 2025 | o3-preview (est.) | 4% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 9 Jul 2025 | Grok 4 | 16% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 24 Nov 2025 | Claude Opus 4.5 | 38% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 Pro | 54% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 12 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3 Deep Think | 85% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 9 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Sol | 93% |
| ARC-AGI-2 | 2 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 95% |
| ARC-AGI-3 | 25 Mar 2026 | At launch | 0.5% |
| ARC-AGI-3 | 1 Jun 2026 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 1.5% |
| ARC-AGI-3 | 9 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Sol | 7.8% |
| ARC-AGI-3 | 24 Jul 2026 | Claude Opus 5 | 30% |
| ARC-AGI-3 | 2 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 63% |
Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index*
Best model's score on the index, by release date. Each line is one version of the index; scores from different versions cannot be compared.
What this measures: Artificial Analysis combines about ten tests of reasoning, coding, knowledge work and agent tasks into one score out of 100. It is one of the most quoted single numbers for how capable a model is.
- Version 4.0 (January to June 2026)
- Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026)
- Version 5 (current)
* The index is rebuilt every few months with harder tests, so a score only means something next to other scores from the same version. Claude Fable 5.1 scored 66 on 1 September 2026 and 53 six days later, after two updates. The current version is 5.0.1 (3 November 2026).
Version 4.0 (January to June 2026), Replaced by a newer test · last data Jun 2026: Replaced by version 4.1 on 15 June 2026, which swapped several tests. Claude Fable 5 went from 64.9 to 60 overnight. Now watch: version 5.
Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026), Replaced by a newer test: Four updates in four months added harder, partly private tests. The top score fell from 66 to 53 between 1 and 7 September 2026. Now watch: version 5.
Version 4.0 scores are Artificial Analysis's re-scoring of older models, read from its January 2026 leaderboard and later articles. Version 5 scores were read on 10 November 2026; models released before about July 2026 have no version 5 score. For comparing across time, Artificial Analysis publishes a separate Progress Index, on which GPT-4 scores 140 and Claude Fable 5.2 scores 358. Versions 1 to 3 (2024–2025) are left out.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 6 Aug 2024 | GPT-4o (Aug '24) | 18.8 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 5 Dec 2024 | o1 | 30.7 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 19 Feb 2025 | Grok 3 mini Reasoning (high) | 32 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 24 Feb 2025 | Claude 3.7 Sonnet (Reasoning) | 34.6 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 22 May 2025 | Claude 4 Sonnet (Reasoning) | 38.6 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 10 Jul 2025 | Grok 4 | 41.4 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 (high) | 44.6 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 13 Nov 2025 | GPT-5.1 (high) | 47.6 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro Preview (high) | 48.4 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 24 Nov 2025 | Claude Opus 4.5 (Reasoning) | 49.7 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 (xhigh) | 51.2 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 5 Feb 2026 | Claude Opus 4.6 (max) | 53 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 19 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview | 57.2 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 16 Apr 2026 | Claude Opus 4.7 (max) | 57.3 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 28 May 2026 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 61.4 points |
| Version 4.0 (January to June 2026) | 9 Jun 2026 | Claude Fable 5 | 64.9 points |
| Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026) | 15 Jun 2026 | Claude Fable 5 | 60 points |
| Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026) | 24 Jul 2026 | Claude Opus 5 (max) | 61 points |
| Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026) | 1 Sept 2026 | Claude Fable 5.1 (max) | 66 points |
| Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026) | 7 Sept 2026 | Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra | 53 points |
| Versions 4.1 to 4.3 (June to October 2026) | 22 Sept 2026 | Claude Opus 5.5 (max) | 58 points |
| Version 5 (current) | 24 Jul 2026 | Claude Opus 5 (max) | 44.2 points |
| Version 5 (current) | 1 Sept 2026 | Claude Fable 5.1 (max) | 50 points |
| Version 5 (current) | 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra (max) | 56.9 points |
| Version 5 (current) | 22 Sept 2026 | Claude Opus 5.5 (max) | 59.1 points |
| Version 5 (current) | 28 Oct 2026 | Gemini 4 Carbon (high) | 60 points |
| Version 5 (current) | 9 Nov 2026 | Claude Fable 5.2 (max) | 64.6 points |
- Intelligence Index methodology and version history (Artificial Analysis)
- Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5 (Artificial Analysis)
- Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.3 (Artificial Analysis)
- Model releases and scores (Artificial Analysis)
- Progress Index methodology (Artificial Analysis)
- Trends (Progress Index chart) (Artificial Analysis)
Humanity's Last Exam
Best independently measured score without tools (Scale AI leaderboard), by model release date.
What this measures: 2,500 expert-written questions chosen because the best AI of early 2025 got them wrong. At launch, top models scored under 10%.
Labs report higher scores with tools (e.g. 64.7% for Claude Mythos Preview, self-reported). Those are not comparable with these no-tools runs. Independent reviews estimate 18–29% of the biology/chemistry answers conflict with the literature, so scores above ~70–80% may reflect label noise rather than skill.
Show data table and sources
| Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | o1 | 8% |
| 16 Apr 2025 | o3 (high) | 20% |
| 5 Jun 2025 | Gemini 2.5 Pro | 22% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 | 25% |
| 6 Oct 2025 | GPT-5 Pro | 32% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 38% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3.1 Pro (high) | 46% |
| 2 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 55% |
- Scale Labs Leaderboard: Humanity's Last Exam (Scale AI)
- Humanity's Last Exam (paper) (CAIS / Scale AI)
- About 30% of Humanity's Last Exam chemistry/biology answers are likely wrong (FutureHouse)
ARC-AGI-3: interactive puzzle games
Best ARC Prize score on the semi-private set. Standard harness vs a lab's own harness.
What this measures: Hundreds of small turn-based games with no instructions: the AI has to explore, work out the rules and win in as few moves as possible. Every game was beaten by human testers; 100% means matching a typical first-time human player's efficiency on every game.
- ARC's standard harness
- Lab's own harness (provider adapter)
- Reference level
The harness matters on interactive tasks: every model tested both ways scored far higher when it could keep its own hidden reasoning between moves (e.g. GPT-6 Astra 62.7% → 99.9%, Claude Fable 5.2 81.2% → 97.7%). Dates are model release dates. ARC-AGI-3 costs are per run, not per task. ARC Prize 2026 competition results are due on 4 December 2026.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Model | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARC's standard harness | 25 Mar 2026 | Best frontier AI at launch | 0.5% |
| ARC's standard harness | 1 Jun 2026 | Claude Opus 4.8 (high) | 1.5% |
| ARC's standard harness | 9 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Sol (max) | 7.8% |
| ARC's standard harness | 24 Jul 2026 | Claude Opus 5 (high) | 30% |
| ARC's standard harness | 2 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra (max) | 63% |
| ARC's standard harness | 2 Sept 2026 | Gemini 3.8 Flash | 10% |
| ARC's standard harness | 28 Sept 2026 | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 24% |
| ARC's standard harness | 29 Sept 2026 | GPT-6.1 Sol | 53% |
| ARC's standard harness | 30 Sept 2026 | Gemini 4 Argon | 50% |
| ARC's standard harness | 9 Nov 2026 | Claude Fable 5.2 | 81% |
| Lab's own harness (provider adapter) | 2 Sept 2026 | Gemini 3.8 Flash + adapter | 35% |
| Lab's own harness (provider adapter) | 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra + OpenAI adapter | 100% |
| Lab's own harness (provider adapter) | 28 Sept 2026 | Claude Sonnet 5.5 + adapter | 72% |
| Lab's own harness (provider adapter) | 29 Sept 2026 | GPT-6.1 Sol + adapter | 96% |
| Lab's own harness (provider adapter) | 30 Sept 2026 | Gemini 4 Argon + adapter | 98% |
| Lab's own harness (provider adapter) | 9 Nov 2026 | Claude Fable 5.2 + adapter | 98% |
| Reference | Typical first-time human player (100%) | 100% |
- ARC-AGI Leaderboard (ARC Prize)
- ARC Prize leaderboard data (evaluations.json) (ARC Prize)
- ARC-AGI-3 launch (ARC Prize)
- GPT-6 Astra results (ARC Prize)
- OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3 (ARC Prize Foundation)
Open research problems solved by AI (FrontierMath Erdős)
Share of 68 significant open Erdős problems a model solves with a machine-checked proof, in one attempt with a ~$300 budget.
What this measures: Unlike exam-style tests, nobody knew the answers to these problems when the test was made. A model only scores if the Lean proof checker accepts its proof or disproof.
Plotted at model release dates (the benchmark launched 1 September 2026, so earlier models were evaluated retroactively). Outside the official one-attempt rules, 17 of the 68 problems have now been solved by some means, including 12 credited to OpenAI's 6 October research release. Contamination risk grows as solutions are published.
Show data table and sources
| Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | GPT-5.5 | 0% |
| 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra (pre-release) | 2.9% |
| 29 Sept 2026 | GPT-6.1 Sol | 4.4% |
- Announcing FrontierMath Erdős (Epoch AI)
- FrontierMath Erdős benchmark page (Epoch AI)
- Epoch AI benchmark data (CSV export) (Epoch AI)
Cost per task to score 75%+ on ARC-AGI-1
Cheapest entry on ARC Prize's leaderboard scoring at least 75% on the ARC-AGI-1 semi-private set, USD per task. Log scale.
What this measures: How much it costs an AI to solve one ARC-AGI-1 visual logic puzzle while scoring 75% or more.
Dates are ARC Prize's model release dates. Costs depend on ARC Prize's pricing assumptions, which it has revised (o3-preview went from $26 to $200 per task). The tested o3-preview was trained on part of the public training set and differs from the released o3.
Show data table and sources
| Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2024 | o3-preview (low) | $200 |
| 7 Aug 2025 | Grok 4 refinement system | $8.42 |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | $0.49 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Gemini 3 Flash Preview (high) | $0.17 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Terra (medium) | $0.13 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Gemini 3.6 Flash (low) | $0.12 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Luna (high) | $0.028 |
| 31 Jul 2026 | DeepSeek V4 Flash (low) | $0.012 |
- ARC-AGI Leaderboard (ARC Prize)
- ARC Prize leaderboard data (evaluations.json) (ARC Prize)
- OpenAI o3 Breakthrough High Score on ARC-AGI-Pub (ARC Prize)
PhD-level science questions (GPQA Diamond)
Best independently measured score, by model release date. Multiple choice, 4 options.
What this measures: 198 hard biology, chemistry and physics questions written by PhDs. Experts in the field get about 70% right; smart non-experts with Google get 34%; guessing gets 25%.
- Best AI score (Epoch AI runs)
- Reference level
Saturated: Top scores (about 96%) are near the test's ceiling, where errors in the answer key cap what's achievable, so differences between today's best models are mostly noise. Now watch: Humanity's Last Exam.
Independent runs by Epoch AI, plotted at each model's release date (many runs happened later). The expert baseline comes from a study OpenAI ran with recruited PhDs; the original paper reports 65% on the full question set. Questions have been public since 2023, so training-data contamination can't be ruled out, and scores above ~95% may be near the benchmark's error floor.
Show data table and sources
| Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2023 | GPT-4 (0314) | 36% |
| 6 Nov 2023 | GPT-4 Turbo | 42% |
| 29 Feb 2024 | Claude 3 Opus | 47% |
| 13 May 2024 | GPT-4o | 49% |
| 20 Jun 2024 | Claude 3.5 Sonnet | 54% |
| 12 Sept 2024 | o1-mini (high) | 62% |
| 17 Dec 2024 | o1 (high) | 77% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | o3-mini (high) | 77% |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Claude 3.7 Sonnet (thinking) | 79% |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Gemini 2.5 Pro | 84% |
| 5 Jun 2025 | Gemini 2.5 Pro (06-05) | 85% |
| 9 Jul 2025 | Grok 4 | 87% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | GPT-5.1 (high) | 88% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 93% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3.1 Pro (high) | 94% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | GPT-5.4 Pro | 95% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Gemini 3.7 Flash (high) | 95% |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Gemini 3.8 Flash (high) | 95% |
| 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra (max) | 96% |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Gemini 4 Argon (high) | 96% |
| PhD experts in the field (69.7%) | 70% | |
| Skilled non-experts with web access (34%) | 34% |
- GPQA Diamond (Epoch AI Benchmarking Hub) (Epoch AI)
- Epoch AI benchmark runs (CSV, CC BY 4.0) (Epoch AI)
- GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark (Rein et al.)
Top AI score on an offline IQ-style test
Best monthly score on TrackingAI's verbal IQ-style quiz that has never been published online. Human average = 100.
What this measures: A short IQ-style pattern quiz that has never been published online, so models can't have memorised it. 100 is the human average.
- Top model (offline test)
- Reference level
Monthly maxima, dated to the end of each month. IQ norms are designed for humans and aren't validated for AI; this is a small matrix-style quiz, not a measure of general intelligence. On the public Mensa Norway test (which may be in training data) scores are higher, about 150.
Show data table and sources
| Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2024 | Claude 3 | 85.5 points |
| 30 Nov 2024 | o1 | 96.5 points |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Grok 4 | 123 points |
| 31 May 2026 | GPT-5 Pro | 127 points |
| 31 Oct 2026 | GPT Astra Ultra (TrackingAI label) | 136 points |
| Human average (100) | 100 points |
- Top AI IQ scores over time (TrackingAI)
- Offline-test monthly top scores (CSV) (TrackingAI)
ARC-AGI-2 puzzles: with and without a harness
Best ARC Prize-verified score on the semi-private set, by model release date.
What this measures: Visual logic puzzles that every task was solved by at least two people, but that AI found almost impossible in early 2025. A "harness" is extra code around the model that lets it try, check and refine answers.
- Model alone (ARC's standard setup)
- With a third-party refinement harness
- Reference level
Model alone (ARC's standard setup), Saturated: The best model scores 95% (September 2026), and ARC Prize says ARC-AGI-1 and -2 are being overfit. Its focus has moved to the interactive ARC-AGI-3. Now watch: ARC-AGI-3.
With a third-party refinement harness, No new results · last data Feb 2026: No new verified harness result since February 2026: plain models overtook the harness systems (GPT-6 Astra scored 95% at $1.12 per task, versus 72.9% at $38.99 for the best harness), so there has been little reason to submit new ones.
Harness systems led in 2025, then plain models overtook them in 2026. The compute-capped ARC Prize 2025 Kaggle competition was won by NVARC with 24.0% at about $0.20 per task. ARC Prize has said ARC-AGI-1 and -2 are being overfit, intentionally or not.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 20 Dec 2024 | o3-preview (low) | 4% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 16 Apr 2025 | o3 (high) | 6.5% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 14 May 2025 | Claude Opus 4 | 8.6% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 9 Jul 2025 | Grok 4 (thinking) | 16% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 6 Oct 2025 | GPT-5 Pro | 18% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 31% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 24 Nov 2025 | Claude Opus 4.5 | 38% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 Pro (high) | 54% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 5 Feb 2026 | Claude Opus 4.6 (high) | 69% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 12 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3 Deep Think | 85% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 22 Apr 2026 | GPT-5.5 (xhigh) | 85% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 9 Jun 2026 | Claude Fable 5 (max) | 89% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 9 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Sol (max) | 93% |
| Model alone (ARC's standard setup) | 2 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra (max) | 95% |
| With a third-party refinement harness | 7 Aug 2025 | Grok 4 + refinement (j_berman) | 29% |
| With a third-party refinement harness | 4 Dec 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro + Poetiq | 54% |
| With a third-party refinement harness | 3 Feb 2026 | GPT-5.2 + refinement (johan_land) | 73% |
| Reference | Human panel (100%) | 100% | |
| Reference | Average test-taker (60%) | 60% |
- ARC-AGI Leaderboard (ARC Prize)
- ARC Prize leaderboard data (evaluations.json) (ARC Prize)
- Announcing ARC-AGI-2 and ARC Prize 2025 (ARC Prize)
- ARC Prize 2025 Results & Analysis (ARC Prize)
Fixing real software bugs (SWE-bench Verified)
Share of 500 real GitHub issues resolved. Independent runs (Epoch AI) vs labs' own reports.
What this measures: The AI gets a real bug report from a popular open-source project and must change the code so the project's own tests pass.
- Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup)
- Self-reported by labs
Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup), Known flaws · last data Apr 2026: Epoch AI stopped adding runs after June 2026, and OpenAI stopped reporting this test in February 2026 after finding flawed tests and signs that models had memorised the fixes. Top scores were also near the ceiling. Now watch: SWE-bench Pro (Scale AI) and MirrorCode.
Self-reported by labs, Replaced by a newer test · last data Apr 2026: Labs largely stopped reporting SWE-bench Verified in 2026 after OpenAI's audit found flawed tests and memorised fixes; Anthropic's last reported score was 93.9% (April 2026). Now watch: SWE-bench Pro (Scale AI).
Epoch AI stopped adding SWE-bench runs after June 2026, and OpenAI stopped reporting the benchmark in February 2026 after finding flawed tests and signs that models had memorised fixes. Lab numbers use their own agent setups and run higher; the successor benchmark is SWE-bench Pro.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 20 Nov 2024 | GPT-4o (Nov 2024) | 31% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 24 Feb 2025 | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | 61% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 16 Apr 2025 | o3 (medium) | 62% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 22 May 2025 | Claude Opus 4 | 71% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 5 Aug 2025 | Claude Opus 4.1 | 73% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 (high) | 74% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 24 Nov 2025 | Claude Opus 4.5 | 77% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 5 Feb 2026 | Claude Opus 4.6 | 79% |
| Independent (Epoch AI, fixed setup) | 16 Apr 2026 | Claude Opus 4.7 (max) | 84% |
| Self-reported by labs | 13 Aug 2024 | GPT-4o + Agentless | 33% |
| Self-reported by labs | 22 Oct 2024 | Claude 3.5 Sonnet (new) | 49% |
| Self-reported by labs | 29 Sept 2025 | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | 77% |
| Self-reported by labs | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 Thinking | 80% |
| Self-reported by labs | 7 Apr 2026 | Claude Mythos Preview | 94% |
- SWE-bench Verified (Epoch AI) (Epoch AI)
- Epoch AI benchmark runs (CSV, CC BY 4.0) (Epoch AI)
- Introducing SWE-bench Verified (OpenAI)
- Introducing computer use, a new Claude 3.5 Sonnet, and Claude 3.5 Haiku (Anthropic)
- Introducing Claude Sonnet 4.5 (Anthropic)
- Introducing GPT-5.2 (OpenAI)
- Project Glasswing (Claude Mythos Preview results) (Anthropic)
Competition math (AIME-style problems)
Best independently measured score on Epoch AI's OTIS Mock AIME 2024–25 (45 problems), by model release date.
What this measures: Problems from the level of the American Invitational Mathematics Examination, the qualifier for the US Math Olympiad team. In 2023 the best AI solved almost none.
Saturated · last data Apr 2026: Top models score 100% (GPT-5.5 Pro, April 2026), so this test can no longer show progress and labs stopped reporting it. Now watch: FrontierMath and FrontierMath Erdős (open problems).
Release dates for GPT-4 (0613), Claude 2.0, Claude 3 Opus and Llama 3.1 are the models' public release dates. Each problem is worth about 2.2 points. Labs stopped reporting AIME in 2026 because top models solve it all.
Show data table and sources
| Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2023 | GPT-4 (0314) | 0.6% |
| 13 Jun 2023 | GPT-4 (0613) | 1.1% |
| 11 Jul 2023 | Claude 2.0 | 2.5% |
| 4 Mar 2024 | Claude 3 Opus | 4.7% |
| 9 Apr 2024 | GPT-4 Turbo (Apr 2024) | 6.7% |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Llama 3.1 405B | 9.7% |
| 12 Sept 2024 | o1-mini (high) | 47% |
| 17 Dec 2024 | o1 (high) | 73% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | o3-mini (high) | 77% |
| 16 Apr 2025 | o3 | 84% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 (high) | 91% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 (high) | 96% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | GPT-5.4 | 98% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | GPT-5.5 Pro | 100% |
- OTIS Mock AIME 2024–2025 (Epoch AI Benchmarking Hub) (Epoch AI)
- Epoch AI benchmark runs (CSV, CC BY 4.0) (Epoch AI)
- MathArena: AIME 2026 (MathArena (ETH Zurich))
FrontierMath: hard math problems solved
Best score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath (corrected v2 set), plotted at each model's release date.
What this measures: Hundreds of unpublished problems written by mathematicians. Tiers 1–3 are advanced; Tier 4 is research-level. Answers are checked automatically.
- Tiers 1–3 (advanced)
- Tier 4 (research-level)
Tier 4 (research-level), Saturated: Epoch AI considers Tier 4 saturated: GPT-6 Astra solved the last problem no model had solved (September 2026), and GPT-6.1 Sol scores 100%. Now watch: FrontierMath Erdős (68 genuinely open problems).
Epoch AI re-ran older models on the corrected v2 problem set (June 2026), so early points come from those re-runs. OpenAI funded FrontierMath and has access to many problems; Epoch keeps a held-out set. Answers are checked automatically. These are not proofs of open problems.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Label | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 17 Dec 2024 | o1 (high) | 15% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 31 Jan 2025 | o3-mini (high) | 19% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 16 Apr 2025 | o4-mini (high) | 36% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 (high) | 55% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 Pro | 74% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 5 Mar 2026 | GPT-5.4 Pro | 83% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 23 Apr 2026 | GPT-5.5 Pro | 88% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 9 Jul 2026 | GPT-5.6 Sol | 89% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 1 Sept 2026 | Claude Fable 5.1 | 90% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 94% |
| Tiers 1–3 (advanced) | 9 Nov 2026 | Claude Fable 5.2 (max) | 95% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 16 Apr 2025 | o4-mini | 4.9% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 | 22% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 Pro | 46% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 5 Mar 2026 | GPT-5.4 Pro | 59% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 23 Apr 2026 | GPT-5.5 Pro | 78% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 9 Jun 2026 | Claude Fable 5 | 90% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 3 Sept 2026 | GPT-6 Astra | 98% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 29 Sept 2026 | GPT-6.1 Sol (max) | 100% |
| Tier 4 (research-level) | 9 Nov 2026 | Claude Fable 5.2 (max) | 100% |
- Epoch AI benchmark data (CSV export) (Epoch AI)
- FrontierMath Tier 4 benchmark page (Epoch AI)
Length of tasks AI agents can complete on their own
METR time horizon: the length of software tasks (measured in skilled-human time) an AI agent completes with 50% or 80% success. Log scale.
What this measures: How big a job an AI agent can finish on its own. A task's "length" is how long it takes a skilled human; the chart shows the longest tasks an AI completes half the time (blue) or reliably (orange). Tasks are software, machine-learning and cybersecurity work.
- 50% success
- 80% success
- Exponential trend
Dashed line: exponential fit since 1 Jan 2023, doubling roughly every 4.0 months.
50% success, No longer updated · last data Apr 2026: METR stopped updating this measure on 8 September 2026. The newest models finish almost every task in its test suite, and METR says results above about 16 hours are unreliable, so its last data point is Claude Mythos Preview (April 2026), and no GPT-6, Claude 5.x or Gemini 4 model has a score. METR has moved to measuring how much AI speeds up AI research inside labs. Now watch: METR's AI R&D acceleration audits (e.g. Anthropic, Nov 2026) and Epoch AI/METR's MirrorCode weeks-long coding tasks.
80% success, No longer updated · last data Apr 2026: METR stopped updating this measure on 8 September 2026. The newest models finish almost every task in its test suite, and METR says results above about 16 hours are unreliable, so its last data point is Claude Mythos Preview (April 2026), and no GPT-6, Claude 5.x or Gemini 4 model has a score. METR has moved to measuring how much AI speeds up AI research inside labs. Now watch: METR's AI R&D acceleration audits (e.g. Anthropic, Nov 2026) and Epoch AI/METR's MirrorCode weeks-long coding tasks.
METR Time Horizon 1.1 values (after METR's March 2026 correction), plotted at model release dates. Tasks are well-specified software, ML and cybersecurity tasks. Confidence intervals are wide (e.g. Claude Opus 4.6: 317–3,634 min). METR stopped updating this dataset in September 2026 and says measurements above ~16 hours are unreliable with its current tasks, so models released after spring 2026 are not shown.
Show data table and sources
| Series | Date | Model | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% success | 14 Feb 2019 | GPT-2 | 6 s |
| 50% success | 28 May 2020 | davinci-002 (GPT-3) | 6 s |
| 50% success | 15 Mar 2022 | GPT-3.5 Turbo Instruct | 36 s |
| 50% success | 14 Mar 2023 | GPT-4 | 4 min |
| 50% success | 6 Nov 2023 | GPT-4 1106 | 4 min |
| 50% success | 4 Mar 2024 | Claude 3 Opus | 4 min |
| 50% success | 9 Apr 2024 | GPT-4 Turbo | 3.7 min |
| 50% success | 13 May 2024 | GPT-4o | 7 min |
| 50% success | 20 Jun 2024 | Claude 3.5 Sonnet (Jun) | 11 min |
| 50% success | 12 Sept 2024 | o1-preview | 20 min |
| 50% success | 22 Oct 2024 | Claude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct) | 21 min |
| 50% success | 5 Dec 2024 | o1 | 39 min |
| 50% success | 24 Feb 2025 | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | 1 h |
| 50% success | 16 Apr 2025 | o3 | 2 h |
| 50% success | 22 May 2025 | Claude Opus 4 | 1.7 h |
| 50% success | 5 Aug 2025 | Claude Opus 4.1 | 1.7 h |
| 50% success | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 | 3.4 h |
| 50% success | 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 3.7 h |
| 50% success | 19 Nov 2025 | GPT-5.1-Codex-Max | 3.7 h |
| 50% success | 24 Nov 2025 | Claude Opus 4.5 | 4.9 h |
| 50% success | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 | 5.9 h |
| 50% success | 5 Feb 2026 | Claude Opus 4.6 | 12 h |
| 50% success | 5 Feb 2026 | GPT-5.3-Codex | 5.8 h |
| 50% success | 19 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3.1 Pro | 6.4 h |
| 50% success | 5 Mar 2026 | GPT-5.4 | 5.7 h |
| 50% success | 7 Apr 2026 | Claude Mythos Preview (limited access) | 17 h |
| 80% success | 15 Mar 2022 | GPT-3.5 Turbo Instruct | 18 s |
| 80% success | 14 Mar 2023 | GPT-4 | 54 s |
| 80% success | 6 Nov 2023 | GPT-4 1106 | 48 s |
| 80% success | 13 May 2024 | GPT-4o | 1.3 min |
| 80% success | 20 Jun 2024 | Claude 3.5 Sonnet (Jun) | 1.7 min |
| 80% success | 12 Sept 2024 | o1-preview | 4.4 min |
| 80% success | 5 Dec 2024 | o1 | 7.1 min |
| 80% success | 24 Feb 2025 | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | 12 min |
| 80% success | 16 Apr 2025 | o3 | 30 min |
| 80% success | 7 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 | 38 min |
| 80% success | 18 Nov 2025 | Gemini 3 Pro | 54 min |
| 80% success | 11 Dec 2025 | GPT-5.2 | 1.1 h |
| 80% success | 5 Feb 2026 | Claude Opus 4.6 | 1.2 h |
| 80% success | 19 Feb 2026 | Gemini 3.1 Pro | 1.5 h |
| 80% success | 7 Apr 2026 | Claude Mythos Preview (limited access) | 3.1 h |
Entries
Big news
Claude Fable 5.2 ranks first overall in independent tests (174 vs 169), but not on science
Anthropic released it on 9 November 2026. Independent tests put it level with rivals on hard maths and behind them on PhD-level science.
174.2Epoch AI's combined test score, a new high (GPT-6 Astra: 169.2)
AI is now speeding up AI research about as much as “AI 2027” expected by March 2027
METR found AI roughly doubling Anthropic's pace, a level the scenario reaches in March 2027. Its lead author says the team is ‘spooked’.
~2×AI-driven speed-up of Anthropic's research, Oct 2026 (METR)
Same AI, same puzzle games: 62.7% with the standard test setup, 99.9% with its maker's own
How a model is run in a test can matter as much as the model. GPT-6 Astra scored 62.7% or 99.9% depending on the software wrapped around it.
62.7% → 99.9%GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3: standard harness vs OpenAI's own adapter
AI went from about 4% to 95% on puzzles people can solve, and under 1% to 81% on puzzle games
Puzzles ordinary people can solve stumped AI in early 2025. By September 2026 the best model solved 95%, checked by the ARC Prize team.
95.0%GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-2, verified by ARC Prize (human panel: 100%)
A tally of real AI agent incidents counts 13 probable felonies for OpenAI and 10 for Anthropic
It counts published cases where an AI agent did what would probably be a US felony for a person. Labs that disclose more score higher.
13 / 10probable felonies counted for OpenAI and Anthropic (10 Nov 2026)
The best AI now ties the human score at drawing a floor plan from photos of a flat
Shown about 20 photos of a flat, Gemini 4 Carbon draws its floor plan as well as the people tested. In 2025, people beat every model.
0.586Gemini 4 Carbon’s score, equal to people’s (random 0, perfect 1)
Big news
Audit finds Anthropic's AI improving about 1.9× faster, likely mostly thanks to AI itself
After 11 weeks inside Anthropic, METR estimated its models improve about twice as fast as before, probably mostly thanks to AI's own help.
1.9×speed of Anthropic's progress since Oct 2025 vs Mar 2024–Oct 2025
On an IQ-style quiz never published online, top AI scores rose from 85 to 136
The quiz is kept offline so models can't have trained on it. Scores rose about 50 points since May 2024, but an AI ‘IQ’ means little.
85 → 136top score on the unpublished quiz, May 2024 to Oct 2026
An older Claude pushes back on 95% of nonsense questions; newer top models on only 62–69%
BullshitBench asks 100 expert-sounding questions that make no sense. Newer top models play along more often than an older Claude did.
95% vs ~62%pushback on nonsense: Claude Opus 4.8 (reasoning off) vs Opus 5.5
PhD-level science questions: best AI rose from 42% to 96%; PhD experts score 65–70%
On 198 hard multiple-choice science questions, independent tests put the best AI at 96.4% in 2026. PhD experts get 69.7%; guessing 25%.
96.4% vs 69.7%Best AI (Gemini 4 Argon, Epoch AI's runs) vs PhD experts
Given $500 to run a simulated vending business for a year, the best AI ends with about $16,500
The leader earns a quarter of what a good strategy could. Against rival AI shops, Claude Opus 5 proposed or joined price cartels.
$500 → ~$16,500best average year-end balance on Vending-Bench 2 (Gemini 4 Carbon)
Buying a fixed level of AI ability gets about 13× cheaper each year, Epoch AI found
The price of answering at a fixed standard halves about every quarter: one science level got 725× cheaper in 18 months. Top models did not.
725×cheaper per science question at o3's level, in under 18 months
Robots finish about half of everyday chores in makers' own tests, and 12% in an independent one
Figure and Physical Intelligence report about half of chores fully done in their own tests. In an independent challenge, the best got 12%.
56%chores fully done in 30 homes Figure hadn't seen (self-reported)
Notable
AI's best score on research-level maths problems went from 6% to 98% in about 14 months
In July 2025 the best AI solved 6% of Epoch AI's hardest, professor-written maths problems. By September 2026 top models scored 97.6–100%.
6% → 98%best AI score on FrontierMath Tier 4, July 2025 → Sept 2026
An exam built to stump AI: best scores rose from about 9% in Jan 2025 to 54.8% by Sept 2026
It is 2,500 expert questions that top AI got wrong when it was made. Independent tests without web search put the best at 54.8%.
54.8%Best independent score without tools (GPT-6 Astra); about 9% at launch
AI has solved dozens of obscure Erdős problems, but only 3 of 68 major ones under strict rules
Counting every effort, AI has solved 17 of 68 major open Erdős problems. Under Epoch AI's strict test rules, the best model solves 3.
3 of 68major open Erdős problems the best model solves under strict rules
On one coding test, AI cheating rose from 0.6% of runs for 2024 models to half for Claude Opus 5
Some AI models game how a test is checked instead of doing the task, so a high score can hide work that was never done.
0.6% → 50.6%runs with cheating on Drone-Bench: 2024 models vs Claude Opus 5
AI agents went from 12% to 86% on desktop computer tasks (people: 72%), but 21% on long ones
On a standard test of everyday computer tasks, AI passed the human score in December 2025. On tasks taking people 1.6 hours, it got 20.6%.
12% → 86%best AI on the OSWorld desktop test, 2024 → Aug 2026 (people: 72%)
One fixed score on a reasoning puzzle test went from $200 a puzzle to about a penny
Passing 75% on a set of visual puzzles cost $200 a puzzle in December 2024 and $0.012 by July 2026. The best models still cost far more.
$200 → $0.012cheapest cost per puzzle at 75% or better, Dec 2024 to Jul 2026
Notable
Two Chinese AI systems were reported to score a perfect 42 of 42 at the 2026 Maths Olympiad
AI from Xiaohongshu and Huawei was reported as officially graded 42 of 42. Seven of 666 students also got full marks. In 2024 AI scored 28.
42/42best AI score at the 2026 Maths Olympiad (gold needed 29)
“Draw a pelican riding a bicycle” is a favourite AI test; a study found no sign labs train for it
Simon Willison asks every new AI to draw a pelican riding a bicycle in code. A study of 48 similar prompts found no sign labs train for it.
42nd of 48the pelican prompt’s rank by score among 48 similar prompts
AI outscored the best humans at two world coding contests in 2026, a year after falling short
At AtCoder's world finals and the International Olympiad in Informatics, AI scored above every human in 2026. Both runs were unofficial.
535 vs 498NVIDIA's model vs the top student on IOI 2026 problems (out of 600)
Mathematicians gave AI 10 unpublished research problems; the best system solved 6
Four AI systems tried 10 research problems that had never been published. Referees graded the answers like journal papers.
6 of 10unpublished research problems solved by the best AI system
METR's last task-length reading: about 12 hours for top public AI, then its tests ran out
In early 2026 the best public AI succeeded half the time on tasks a skilled person needs 12 hours for. METR's tests can't measure further.
~12 htask length the best public AI finished half the time, Feb–Mar 2026
Myth check: “AI progress has hit a wall”
Verdict: FalseAI kept improving fast through 2026, from 4-minute tasks in 2023 to 12-hour ones. Just making models bigger did slow, and real use lags.
Claude finally beat Pokémon Red in May 2026, a year after Gemini finished Pokémon Blue
Old Pokémon games became an informal test of long tasks for AI. Claude stalled for months; Gemini, first to win, had a more helpful setup.
230,000steps Claude Opus 4.5 had taken when it got stuck on a boulder puzzle
AI matched or beat professionals on 84.9% of sample work tasks by April 2026, up from 47.6%
Experts blind-graded AI and professional work, such as legal briefs, from 44 jobs. The 84.9% is OpenAI's own count on its own test.
47.6% → 84.9%tasks where AI matched or beat experts, Sep 2025 → Apr 2026 (OpenAI)
AI tests meant to last for years are being maxed out within one to two years
On tests launched in 2025–26, the best AI scores went from near 0% to over 50% within months, so test makers keep building harder ones.
+48.9 ptsOne-year rise in the top GPQA science score (2025 AI Index)
AI rebuilt a 16,000-line program from scratch, a job estimated at 2–17 weeks for a person
Given only a working program and its tests, Claude Opus 4.6 recreated it almost perfectly. Months-long coding jobs are still too hard.
2,000 / 2,001tests passed when AI rebuilt a 16,000-line program
AI rose from 31% to 83.5% on fixing real code bugs, then OpenAI dropped the test as flawed
Built from real bug reports, SWE-bench Verified was a standard coding test. OpenAI dropped it in 2026 over broken tests and memorised fixes.
31% → 83.5%best independent SWE-bench Verified score, Nov 2024 → Apr 2026
The length of tasks AI agents can finish alone has doubled about every 4 months since 2023
In 2023 the best AI could do, half the time, software tasks taking a skilled person about 4 minutes. By February 2026 it was about 12 hours.
4 min → 12 htasks AI finishes half the time, GPT-4 (2023) → Claude Opus 4.6 (2026)
OpenAI's AI solved all 12 problems at the top university coding contest; the best team solved 11
At the 2025 ICPC World Finals, Google's Gemini also solved 10 of 12, including one that none of the 139 university teams solved.
12/12problems solved by OpenAI's system (best of 139 human teams: 11)
AI from Google and OpenAI hit gold-medal level at the 2025 Maths Olympiad: 35 of 42 points
Two AI systems solved 5 of 6 problems with plain-language proofs, in the time limits. The contest graded Google's; OpenAI chose its graders.
35/42points at the 2025 Maths Olympiad, exactly the gold-medal cutoff
o3 beat 34 of 36 virologists on a written lab test, but AI gave novices no clear lab boost
On written lab-problem questions, o3 scored 43.8% to virologists' 22.1%. In a 2026 trial, AI did not significantly help novices in the lab.
43.8% vs 22.1%o3 vs virologists on questions in their own specialties (April 2025)
GPT-4's level of ability got about 300× cheaper in under two years, then stopped falling
The cheapest model matching GPT-4 on PhD-level science fell from $37.50 to $0.12 per million tokens by late 2024. Top models stay pricey.
$37.50 → $0.05per million tokens for GPT-4's level of ability, 2023 to 2026